####018002748####
WGUS44 KHGX 291129

FLWHGX



BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Flood Warning

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX

629 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024



...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and 

increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...



  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Liberty, Hardin and Polk Counties.



For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Major flooding is forecast.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 

cars through flooded areas.



Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 

dangers of flooding.



Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 

enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 

Weather Service when you can do so safely.



Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 

deaths occur in vehicles.



Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.



The next statement will be issued late tonight at 1230 AM CDT.



&&



TXC199-291-373-300530-

/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0055.240429T1129Z-240503T0605Z/

/RYET2.3.ER.240429T1018Z.240501T0000Z.240502T1805Z.NO/

629 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024



...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO EARLY FRIDAY 

MORNING...



* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.



* WHERE...Menard Creek near Rye.



* WHEN...From this morning to early Friday morning.



* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 

  lying areas along the creek are inundated.

  At 28.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins with widespread 

  inundation of the flood plain in the vicinity of the gage.



* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 6:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 21.5 feet.

  - Bankfull stage is 17.0 feet.

  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours

    ending at 6:15 AM CDT Monday was 21.5 feet.

  - Forecast...The river will rise to 26.3 feet this afternoon.

    It will then fall this evening. It will rise to 33.9 feet

    tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage early

    Thursday afternoon.

  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.

  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of

    34.0 feet on 09/01/1961.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



&&



            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     

Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          



Menard Creek

Rye         20.0  21.5  Mon 6 am CDT 26.7  29.6  22.4         





&&



LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483

      3053 9486 3056 9475





$$



Fowler