####018004151#### FNUS73 KMPX 041415 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Bolson Slough RX...USFWS National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 915 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... For Bolson Slough RX, Showers have ended and skies cleared out. We'll see RH values remain in the 70 to 80% through late morning before RH settles in the 45 to 55% range by mid afternoon. Scattered clouds should redevelop this afternoon, but it'll likely remain mostly sunny. Northwesterly winds will be between 5 to 10mph with sporadic gusts up to 15mph this afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 62. RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 9 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /26700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /106100 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......PC PC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............50 52 55 58 59 60 61 60 60 59 55 52 RH..............74 69 59 53 49 47 46 47 46 47 57 61 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W 20 FT wind spd..9 10 10 13 13 13 12 10 9 7 6 6 20 FT wind gust.14 15 16 18 18 18 18 17 15 13 10 8 Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 4.0 5.2 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.3 4.9 2.4 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W Transp wind spd.13 17 18 18 20 20 18 17 15 10 7 8 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Temperature.........Min 39. RH..................Max 92 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 6 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the southwest early in the morning. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Temperature.........Max 69. RH..................Min 36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (78400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 17 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Hewett Requested by...Kyle Avesing Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413140.0/MPX .DELDT 05/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kyle_avesing@fws.gov ####018003823#### FNUS72 KJAX 041415 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for 59th Annual Isle of Eight Flags Shrimp Fest...Fernandina Beach Fire Department National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 1015 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on May 04. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...A few light sprinkles/rain showers are possible this morning, then a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm remains possible this afternoon and evening. Southeast winds will increase to 15 mph with gusts to 20 to 25 mph this afternoon and early evening. A slight higher chance of rainfall is expected on Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening hours. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........70 68 64 61 52 50 44 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Temp............79 81 81 80 81 80 79 RH..............69 63 63 65 63 65 67 Heat index (F)..79 83 82 83 85 83 85 Surface wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE Surface wnd spd.9 10 12 12 13 13 14 Surface wnd gst.14 16 17 17 20 20 21 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE E E SE SE Transp wind spd.8 9 10 10 12 13 13 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........43 45 50 51 53 53 51 52 57 61 63 65 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............78 77 75 72 72 71 71 71 70 69 69 69 RH..............69 71 76 87 87 90 90 90 93 97 97 97 Heat index (F)..82 79 77 75 75 75 75 74 74 74 73 73 Surface wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S Surface wnd spd.14 13 10 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 Surface wnd gst.21 20 16 13 13 13 13 13 10 10 10 9 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S Transp wind spd.13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........62 62 53 43 48 53 49 45 41 36 31 26 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Temp............68 68 70 75 78 81 82 83 82 82 82 81 RH..............100 100 93 82 74 67 65 63 65 65 65 67 Heat index (F)..71 72 73 76 79 84 87 87 85 85 85 84 Surface wnd dir.S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE Surface wnd spd.6 7 7 6 7 7 8 10 12 12 12 12 Surface wnd gst.9 10 10 9 10 10 13 16 17 17 17 17 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.10 10 10 9 9 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 $$ Forecaster...Hess Requested by...Ty Silcox Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2413139.0/JAX .DELDT 05/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tsilcox@fbfl.org