####018002179#### FNUS75 KTWC 041827 FWSTWC Spot Forecast for BEAR VALLEY RANCH...USFS National Weather Service Tucson AZ 1127 AM MST Sat May 4 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on May 04. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... Seasonably warm and dry weather with occasionally breezy southwest winds are expected to continue today. Winds will diminish around sunset this evening. An upper level system will then approach the area on Sunday, bringing windy and dry conditions at the wildfire site. Southwest winds could gust to 40-45 mph especially in the more exposed areas during the day Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch is currently in effect for the dry and windy forecast on Sunday, and this will likely be upgraded to a Red Flag Warning. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....80-83 degrees. Min humidity........10-15 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph possible over exposed ridges. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 knots. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....52-55 degrees. Max humidity........39-42 percent. 20-foot winds.......South winds decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after 1700. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL after 1700. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 knots. $$ Forecaster...DANG Requested by...HOLLEY Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2413157.0/TWC .DELDT 05/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL AZTDC@FIRENET.GOV Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson