####018003243####
FNUS75 KGJT 050145

FWSGJT



Spot Forecast for Slash Pile Rx...Norwood Fire Protection District

National Weather Service Grand Junction CO

745 PM MDT Sat May 4 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on May 05. 

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather

Service.



...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT

SUNDAY NIGHT...



.DISCUSSION...

A strong cold front will approach the area on Sunday as a strong 

jet streak moves directly overhead. Deep mixing will bring these 

upper level winds to the surface while a very tight pressure 

gradient will also cause strong winds. Sustained winds of 30 to 40

mph are expected with gusts reaching 50 to 60 mph in the 

afternoon. As the front moves through in the evening, some showers

are possible, maybe a quick thunderstorm. Monday, much less windy

but still expect sustained winds of around 20 mph.



.SUNDAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain 

                    showers in the afternoon. 

CWR.................10 percent. 

Max temperature.....66-71. 

Min humidity........17-22 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Very windy. South winds 30 mph increasing to

                    between 35 to 40 mph with gusts between 

                    50 to 60 mph in the afternoon. 

Smoke dispersal.....Excellent. 

Haines Index........3 or very low. 

LAL.................1. 

Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South 44 mph. 



.SUNDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of

                    rain showers and slight chance of 

                    snow showers overnight. Slight chance of

                    a thunderstorm in the evening.

CWR.................40 percent. 

Min temperature.....29-34. 

Max humidity........66-71 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southwest winds 30 mph decreasing 

                    to 20 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic 

                    winds expected near thunderstorms. 

Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to good overnight. 

Haines Index........3 or very low. 

LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2 until 0300, then 1. 

Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL decreasing to 3100 ft AGL 

                    overnight. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 45 mph decreasing to 25 mph 

                    overnight. 



.MONDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 

CWR.................0 percent. 

Max temperature.....54-59. 

Min humidity........16-21 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. 

Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the 

                    afternoon. 

Haines Index........4 or low. 

LAL.................1. 

Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the 

                    afternoon. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 21 mph increasing to west 31 mph in 

                    the afternoon. 



$$

Forecaster...Tom Renwick

Requested by...Zane Truelock

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2413169.0/GJT

.DELDT 05/04/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL wildland@norwoodcofire.com