####018007940#### FNUS71 KALY 020304 FWSALY Spot Forecast for Hop Brook WMA Rx Fire...MassWildlife National Weather Service Albany NY 1104 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Outside of some light showers possible north and east of Albany tonight due to a passing disturbance, primarily dry conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the work week. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........47 percent. Dewpoint............49. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest 13 to 15 mph with gusts to around 26 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 17 to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (104500 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (102900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........77 74 72 64 57 49 47 46 44 43 42 41 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............50 50 51 54 58 61 64 67 68 69 69 68 Dewpoint........48 49 50 51 51 51 51 50 49 48 48 47 RH..............93 96 96 90 77 70 63 54 51 47 47 47 20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 15 14 20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 17 17 20 22 24 25 26 26 26 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.5 Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.14 15 17 17 17 17 20 22 24 26 26 26 LVORI...........5 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 11 17 25 36 49 69 89 105 113 113 103 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 46. Max humidity........96 percent. Dewpoint............46. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts to around 24 mph shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph shifting to the north 9 to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight, then shifting to the northeast 9 to 10 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76000 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........39 37 35 39 44 49 51 52 54 57 59 62 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............65 62 59 57 56 54 52 51 49 47 46 46 Dewpoint........47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 45 45 RH..............52 58 64 69 72 77 83 86 89 96 96 96 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE E E E 20 FT wind spd..13 12 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.24 17 15 13 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE E E Transp wind spd.23 20 15 13 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 6 6 Haines index....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..76 42 14 4 3 5 4 4 5 5 6 8 Ventrate Cat....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 65. Min humidity........52 percent. Dewpoint............45. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (30700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........61 60 60 60 61 61 61 60 60 61 62 63 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............47 48 49 52 54 57 59 61 63 63 64 63 Dewpoint........45 45 45 M M 45 M M 45 M M 46 RH..............93 89 86 77 71 64 60 56 52 54 52 54 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.2 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE Transp wind spd.10 12 12 12 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 Haines index....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 13 16 18 19 21 23 26 28 30 31 29 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR $$ Forecaster...JPV Requested by...Alex Entrup Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412999.0/ALY .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL alex.entrup@mass.gov