####018006814#### FNUS71 KBGM 020833 FWSBGM Spot Forecast for SGL 123...Pennsylvania Game Commission National Weather Service Binghamton NY 433 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A dry cold front is pushing through the region early this morning. Behind this front, winds will increase out of the northwest, with gusts around 20 mph. Temperatures will climb into the low 70s this afternoon and with dew point temperatures dropping into the 40s behind the front, the minimum relative humidity will dip to 30 to 35 percent. Humidity will recover this evening and winds will start to decrease just before sunset. The dry weather will continue thru Friday. Then, a brief cool down with periods of rain showers is expected for the upcoming weekend. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph increasing to around 14 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 22 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. SUNSET.............. LVORI...............3. ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........29 35 42 32 22 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............55 55 57 61 64 67 69 71 72 73 73 73 RH..............86 86 77 62 54 49 42 37 34 30 30 33 20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N 20 FT wind spd..8 9 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 20 FT wind gust.12 18 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 18 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.9 Transp wind dir.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.14 15 16 17 20 21 22 22 22 22 21 20 LVORI...........4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............12 18 27 41 57 70 78 81 82 83 81 72 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 46. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 13 mph in the evening becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to 8 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the east around 5 mph after 3 am. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. SUNRISE............. LVORI...............4. ADI.................52 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in the night. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........10 10 9 10 10 10 13 15 18 18 18 18 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............71 69 65 62 59 56 54 52 50 49 47 46 RH..............36 42 50 56 60 64 66 71 77 77 83 89 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N NE NE E E E E 20 FT wind spd..10 9 8 6 5 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 20 FT wind gust.16 13 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Transp wind dir.NW N N N N NE NE E E E E E Transp wind spd.17 14 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 ADI.............52 28 8 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south 8 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. SUNSET.............. LVORI...............3. ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 59 in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........19 21 17 22 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............46 56 69 75 RH..............89 69 45 38 20 FT wind......E 2G6 SE 5G8 SE 6G9 S 8G10 Mix hgt (ft)....300 1100 2700 4100 Transport wind..SE 7 S 9 S 10 S 12 LVORI...........5 3 1 1 ADI.............4 13 37 57 Haines index....5 5 5 4 $$ Forecaster...Kistner Requested by...Phil Kasper Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412976.0/BGM .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL pkasper@pa.gov