####018007302#### FNUS71 KCTP 020835 FWSCTP Spot Forecast for SGL 293 Elk Tracks 1+2...PGC National Weather Service State College PA 435 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in State College. .DISCUSSION... A near carbon copy of Wednesday's weather is in store for the District today with abundant sunshine and dry weather. MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph. Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds during the afternoon and nighttime hours. Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through the weekend. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min Temperature.....Around 52. Max Humidity........83 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............5. ADI.................4. TIME (EDT) 5AM Sky (%)........... 20 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... Temp.............. 57 RH................ 83 20 FT Wind Dir.... W 20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 20 FT Wind Gust... 6 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 Transp Wind Dir... W Transp Wind Spd... 9 LVORI............. 5 ADI............... 4 Haines Index...... 5 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....Around 76. Min Humidity........30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph early in the morning. Mixing Height.......4200 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................16 to 42. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 25 30 24 20 17 13 12 10 7 5 5 5 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... Temp.............. 55 53 56 59 62 66 69 71 74 75 76 75 RH................ 83 80 74 64 56 47 40 36 32 31 30 31 20 FT Wind Dir.... W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT Wind Gust... 6 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 13 13 11 11 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.2 Transp Wind Dir... W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW NW Transp Wind Spd... 8 8 12 12 14 14 15 16 16 15 15 13 LVORI............. 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI............... 16 16 16 33 33 33 42 42 42 41 41 41 Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min Temperature.....Around 49. Max Humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph shifting to the east 7 to 8 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................3 to 8. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)........... 5 5 5 7 9 11 17 23 29 31 33 35 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... Temp.............. 74 71 66 62 59 57 55 53 52 51 51 50 RH................ 32 35 43 50 55 59 64 69 71 74 74 77 20 FT Wind Dir.... NW N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E 20 FT Wind Spd.... 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT Wind Gust... 10 8 7 6 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp Wind Dir... NW NW N N NE NE NE E E E E E Transp Wind Spd... 12 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 ADI............... 8 8 8 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 Haines Index...... 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Max Temperature.....Around 78. Min Humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......4700 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 8 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................9 to 34. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 36 37 38 37 36 35 38 41 44 50 56 63 Weather Cov....... SCH SCH Weather Type...... RW RW Tstm Cov.......... SCH Temp.............. 49 50 54 59 63 68 71 74 77 78 78 77 RH................ 83 80 71 64 60 54 51 46 43 43 43 47 20 FT Wind Dir.... E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT Wind Gust... 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 Transp Wind Dir... SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S Transp Wind Spd... 8 7 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 LVORI............. 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 ADI............... 9 9 9 16 16 16 23 23 23 34 34 34 Haines Index...... 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 $$ Forecaster...Lambert Requested by...Travis Weinzierl Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412961.0/CTP .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL trweinzier@pa.gov