####018006965#### FNUS71 KCTP 020839 FWSCTP Spot Forecast for Meads Mill Rx...USFS National Weather Service State College PA 439 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in State College. .DISCUSSION... A near carbon copy of Wednesday's weather is in store for the District today with abundant sunshine and dry weather. MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph. Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds during the afternoon and nighttime hours. Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through the weekend. .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). LAL.................No Tstms. Max Temperature.....Around 74. Min Humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph. Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............4. ADI.................14 to 30. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 20 20 17 15 13 11 13 15 9 14 11 8 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 53 51 54 57 60 64 67 69 71 73 73 74 RH................ 86 83 77 69 60 52 45 42 38 35 34 33 20 FT Wind Dir.... W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT Wind Gust... 6 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.3 Transp Wind Dir... N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Transp Wind Spd... 9 8 10 10 10 12 12 12 9 10 12 9 LVORI............. 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI............... 14 14 14 27 27 27 28 28 28 30 30 30 Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). LAL.................No Tstms. Min Temperature.....Around 50. Max Humidity........74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southeast around 5 mph overnight. Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east 6 to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight, then shifting to the southeast 8 to 9 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................3 to 4. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)........... 7 6 5 10 15 21 21 22 23 27 32 36 Weather Cov....... Weather Type...... Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 72 69 65 61 58 55 54 53 53 52 52 51 RH................ 35 39 45 51 59 66 69 69 69 71 71 74 20 FT Wind Dir.... N N N NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT Wind Spd.... 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT Wind Gust... 8 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp Wind Dir... NW N N N NE E E E SE SE SE SE Transp Wind Spd... 9 8 6 7 7 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI............... 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. LAL.................No Tstms until 1500, then 9-15 strikes until 1700, then 16-25 strikes. Max Temperature.....Around 81. Min Humidity........39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......6000 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................11 to 37. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 38 41 43 45 47 50 53 56 58 61 64 67 Weather Cov....... SCH SCH CHC Weather Type...... RW RW RW Tstm Cov.......... SCH SCH CHC LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 4 Temp.............. 50 51 56 61 66 71 74 77 80 81 81 80 RH................ 80 80 69 62 56 51 48 43 41 39 41 42 20 FT Wind Dir.... SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT Wind Spd.... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 6 6 20 FT Wind Gust... 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 3.4 4.7 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.5 Transp Wind Dir... S S SE S S S S S S S SW SW Transp Wind Spd... 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 12 LVORI............. 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 ADI............... 11 11 11 21 21 21 30 30 30 37 37 37 Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 $$ Forecaster...Lambert Requested by...Paul Clement Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412988.0/CTP .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL paul.clement@usda.gov