####018004681#### FNUS73 KDTX 020912 FWSDTX Spot Forecast for Lapeer Oaks...MIDNR National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 512 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Light northerly winds eventually veer toward the southeast by this afternoon as high pressure cross the Great lakes. Showers arrive tonight and expand in coverage Friday. Some storms are also possible, especially Friday afternoon/evening ahead of a cold front. Minimum RHs jump from the lower 40s today to lower 60s Friday with prevailing wind speeds below 15 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........45 percent. Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Fair (MAX...269). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........23 26 28 31 43 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 65 67 67 68 68 RH..............52 49 47 46 45 46 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.7 8 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.2 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISPER....204 230 291 301 310 291 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)becoming partly cloudy (45-55 percent)becoming mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........76 percent. Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph. Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...45). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........52 50 53 62 61 64 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 61 56 55 55 55 RH..............48 55 62 69 72 72 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 11 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)...2500 800 500 400 400 400 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISPER....277 99 56 54 52 65 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........58 percent. Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 6 mph...becoming west around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 14 mph...becoming northwest 14 to 15 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...374). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........64 70 79 89 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 61 71 73 RH..............74 73 63 60 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 SE 6 S 6 SW 7 EYE LEVEL WIND..11 10 12 13 MIX HGT (FT)....400 800 2100 2800 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISPER....41 94 255 395 $$ Forecaster...Arnold Requested by...Jeff Vasher Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412953.0/DTX .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov