####018001428#### FNUS75 KPSR 021034 FWSPSR Spot Forecast for San Carlos WUI RX...San Carlos National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 334 AM MST Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Dry and warm conditions are expected, with afternoon high temperatures remaining around 3-5 degrees above normal. Light winds are forecast today (below 15 mph sustained) with occasional afternoon breeziness and directions generally following diurnal tendencies. Afternoon min RHs will bottom out around 10-15%, while overnight recovery will be fair between 40-50%. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........10-15 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to 12 mph by late morning. Occasional gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon to early evening out of the west. $$ Forecaster...TW Requested by...Dwayne Chapman Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412994.0/PSR .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov ####018007480#### FNUS74 KMOB 021034 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 447 448...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 534 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 80 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA... .DISCUSSION...A few isolated showers and storms today become more widely scattered on Friday. Minimum relative humidity values remain above critical thresholds (around 40 percent today and around 55 percent tomorrow) at the burn site. Southeasterly transport winds this morning will become more southerly by this afternoon. Transport winds then turn more southwesterly by Friday. Max wind gusts will generally be around 10 to 15 mph today. Afternoon dispersions will be good (values around 80). Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is possible once again tonight at the burn site. Fog may briefly become dense prior to sunrise. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of dense fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........42 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...366-1890 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....15 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then increasing to 43 late in the morning increasing to 57 early in the afternoon increasing to 79 decreasing to 72 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........51 51 50 51 52 53 53 53 53 56 Weather cov.....ARS Weather type....FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............66 71 76 81 83 86 87 88 87 86 RH..............100 87 74 60 53 46 45 42 43 46 20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 2.2 3.3 4.2 5.3 6.0 6.2 5.9 5.9 Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S Transp wind spd.8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..11 18 30 43 57 74 83 76 72 72 LVORI...........7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 67. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-1798 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 6. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........59 63 61 59 57 60 62 65 68 72 75 72 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............84 80 76 73 71 70 69 69 68 68 67 67 RH..............49 58 69 79 87 90 93 93 97 97 100 100 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S SSE 20 FT wind spd..8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 Mix hgt (km)....1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 13 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 7 7 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 Dispersion idx..72 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6 8 8 9 9 9 9 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers in the morning. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........53 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1006 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 42. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........68 65 66 67 68 67 67 66 67 68 69 67 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Temp............67 67 69 74 78 81 83 84 84 83 82 81 RH..............100 100 93 82 71 63 57 53 53 55 56 58 20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S S SSW S S S S 20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW SW SSW S SSW Transp wind spd.6 6 7 10 9 12 12 13 12 12 12 10 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW SW SSW S SSW Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 Dispersion idx..3 6 10 19 25 33 39 46 37 38 37 37 LVORI...........9 8 6 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...96 Requested by...Ryan Barnett Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412928.0/MOB .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov