####018006864#### FNUS74 KMOB 021113 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 South...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 613 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Isolated showers and storms are possible both today and Friday. Minimum relative humidity values remain above critical thresholds (around 45-50 percent today and around 55 percent tomorrow) at the burn site. Southeasterly transport winds this morning will become more southerly by this afternoon. Transport winds then turn more southwesterly by Friday. Afternoon dispersions will be good (values around 70). Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is possible once again tonight at the burn site. Fog may briefly become dense prior to sunrise. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 87. Min humidity........48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...792-1737 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....40 increasing to 72. LVORI...............2. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........51 50 50 49 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 20 20 LAL.............1 1 2 2 Temp............77 84 87 86 RH..............76 55 48 51 20 FT wind dir..SE SSE S S 20 FT wind spd..6 8 9 10 20 FT wind gust.9 12 14 15 Mix hgt (ft)....2600 4600 5700 5100 Mix hgt (m).....790 1400 1740 1550 Transp wind dir.SSE S S S Transp wind spd.12 13 14 14 Trans wind dir..SSE S S S Trans spd (m/s).5 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..40 62 74 66 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 67. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1554 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....66 decreasing to 7. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........54 60 69 67 66 68 Weather cov.....S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............81 75 70 68 69 68 RH..............60 76 93 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..S S S S SSE SSE 20 FT wind spd..8 6 6 5 5 3 20 FT wind gust.13 9 8 7 6 6 Mix hgt (ft)....5100 500 500 500 500 500 Mix hgt (m).....1550 150 150 150 150 150 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S Transp wind spd.16 10 9 9 9 8 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).7 4 4 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..66 7 6 6 5 4 LVORI...........1 4 5 8 8 9 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1128 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 36 late in the morning, increasing to 43 early in the afternoon, then decreasing to 33. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........66 65 66 66 67 69 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 Temp............67 71 79 82 84 83 RH..............100 93 74 63 55 55 20 FT wind dir..SE SSE S S S S 20 FT wind spd..3 5 7 9 10 9 20 FT wind gust.6 7 9 13 15 14 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1000 2700 2900 2100 2700 Mix hgt (m).....150 300 820 880 640 820 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW S Transp wind spd.7 8 10 12 12 12 Trans wind dir..S S S S SW S Trans spd (m/s).3 4 4 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..3 12 27 39 32 33 LVORI...........9 5 3 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...96 Requested by...Cliff Willis Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412441.5/MOB .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov