####018002541#### FNUS75 KSLC 021302 FWSSLC Spot Forecast for South Beaver RX...USDA Forest Service National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 702 AM MDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 MDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry air is in place behind a cold front that moved through northern Utah on Wednesday. Another cold front will move across northern Utah on Friday, maintaining this dry pattern across central Utah. Significant changes are on the horizon, however, with a warm, dry and windy day expected on Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area Saturday night, bringing a significant increase in moisture and a 20 degree temperature drop for Sunday. Additionally, light snow accumulations can't be ruled out Sunday afternoon and night. Possible ranges of snow accumulation range from a trace to 3 or 4 inches. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent cloud cover). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....52-54. Min humidity........19-21 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-6 mph becoming west 6-11 mph between 0900-1000 then increasing to 13-19 mph between 1200-1400. Clearing index......1000+. Haines Index........4. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent cloud cover). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....37-39. Max humidity........43-45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11-17 mph decreasing to 6-13 mph around sunset then becoming downslope/downvalley winds 3-7 mph between 2200-2300. Haines Index........5. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent cloud cover). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....53-55. Min humidity........29-31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-7 mph becoming west winds 5-13 mph between 0900-1000. Clearing index......1000+. Haines Index........3. $$ Forecaster...ADeSmet Requested by...Cory Norman Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412808.2/SLC .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL samuel.norman@usda.gov ####018006440#### FNUS72 KILM 021302 FWSILM Spot Forecast for McLean Rx...The Nature Conservancy National Weather Service Wilmington NC 902 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374. .DISCUSSION... Morning fog will quickly burn off and dry high pressure will move overhead today with light winds expected. Today's seabreeze front should move northward across McLean Savannah shortly before 2:00 PM, shifting winds to the south-southeast with an increase in speed to 6 to 8 mph. Winds should become calm this evening and there is a high potential for fog again late tonight. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Max mixing hgt......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Max vent rate.......Marginal (40784 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........3. Max ADI.............51. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........15 4 6 7 8 5 3 0 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............76 80 81 82 82 82 82 81 RH..............70 60 57 53 51 52 56 59 20 FT wind dir..NE E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..1 2 3 4 5 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.3 4 5 7 9 9 11 11 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 3.2 4.4 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.4 2.7 Transp wind dir.NE E E SE SE SE SE S Transp wind spd.6 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 Stability.......A A A A A B B B LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............11 28 39 46 51 47 43 39 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.9 22 31 37 41 39 35 31 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...000 002 002 002 999 999 999 995 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of fog overnight. Min temperature.....Around 62. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph. Min vent rate.......Poor (3802 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........9. Min ADI.............4. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........1 2 2 6 10 14 19 23 27 31 34 37 Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Temp............78 75 72 70 68 67 66 65 64 64 64 64 RH..............67 74 81 85 90 94 96 97 98 99 99 99 20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S S SW 20 FT wind spd..6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.9 8 7 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 Stability.......B F F F F F F F F F F F LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 9 9 9 9 ADI.............29 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Vrate mph-ft/1K.23 6 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...995 995 998 998 998 001 001 001 000 000 000 999 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog early in the morning, then patchy fog early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Max mixing hgt......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph. Max vent rate.......Marginal (41889 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........9. Max ADI.............53. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........37 36 28 21 13 13 Weather cov.....AREAS PATCHY Weather type....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............64 65 73 80 83 82 RH..............100 100 83 62 54 56 20 ft wind......SW 1 SW 1 SW 2 S 4 S 5 S 6 20 ft wind gust.2 3 4 6 8 11 Mix hgt (ft)....500 600 1800 3400 4600 3100 Transport wind..SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 S 7 S 9 S 12 Stability.......F A A A A B LVORI...........9 8 3 2 1 1 ADI.............3 7 19 30 53 44 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate mph-ft/1K.4 4 14 23 42 36 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR POOR Sfc pres (in)...29.99 30.04 30.04 30.07 30.04 30.04 $$ Forecaster...Armstrong Requested by...Nathan Burmester Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413018.0/ILM .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nathan.burmester@tnc.org