####018006582#### FNUS74 KMOB 022157 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 439 440 441...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 457 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 CDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon. Minimum relative humidity values remain above critical thresholds, around 55 percent tomorrow and 50 percent Saturday, at the burn site. Transport winds then turn more southwesterly by Friday. Afternoon dispersions will be fair to generally good with values around 40 on Friday becoming good around 60 on Saturday. Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is expected across the burn area with visibilities possibly getting down to less than 1 mile. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................2. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........42 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...1829 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South around 14 mph. Transport winds m/s.South around 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....72. LVORI...............1. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 5PM Sky (%).........56 Weather cov.....SCH Weather type....RW Tstm cov........SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 LAL.............2 Temp............85 RH..............48 20 FT wind dir..S 20 FT wind spd..8 20 FT wind gust.12 Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 Mix hgt (km)....1.8 Transp wind dir.S Transp wind spd.14 Trans wind dir..S Trans spd (m/s).6 Dispersion idx..72 LVORI...........1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Patchy fog after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 67. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1829 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 8. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........58 78 60 73 62 53 62 68 65 60 66 74 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY Weather type....RW RW RW FOG FOG Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 LAL.............2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............84 80 76 74 72 71 70 70 69 68 68 68 RH..............51 60 71 76 84 87 90 90 93 97 100 97 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..8 13 12 10 9 9 8 9 9 7 6 6 20 FT wind gust.12 20 17 16 14 14 13 14 14 10 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Mix hgt (km)....1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.14 14 13 10 12 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..72 11 11 10 9 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1158 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 39. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........76 69 57 57 57 60 57 76 80 74 74 80 Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 40 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 Temp............67 68 69 73 77 79 81 82 82 82 82 83 RH..............100 100 100 90 76 69 63 61 58 55 55 55 20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 13 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.1 Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S SSW Transp wind spd.7 8 7 8 10 13 10 13 13 12 10 10 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S SSW Trans spd (m/s).3 4 3 4 4 6 4 6 6 5 4 4 Dispersion idx..4 6 12 19 29 36 39 41 42 39 36 36 LVORI...........9 8 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...3 Requested by...Ryan Barnett Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412925.1/MOB .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov