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FNUS76 KMFR 030054

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Pilgrim Plantations Rx...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

554 PM PDT Thu May 2 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 03. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...It will be dry through most of Friday night. A front

will bring rain to the burn area just before daybreak Saturday with 

rain becoming moderate to heavy from mid morning Saturday into Saturday

afternoon. Precipitation becomes showery late Saturday afternoon into 

Saturday night. IN addition an isolated thunderstorm is possible 

late Saturday afternoon and evening. Showers will continue Sunday, 

although they will diminish Sunday afternoon.  



.FRIDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny.  

Max temperature.....64-66. 

Min humidity........20 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph. 

Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South 6-10 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.FRIDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Light rain arriving late. 

Min temperature.....35-37. 

Max humidity........100 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph. 

Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South 6-11 mph. 

CWR.................30 percent. 



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy with rain, becoming moderate to heavy

                    from mid morning into the afternoon. An isolated

                    thunderstorm is possible. 

Max temperature.....42-44. 

Min humidity........63 percent. 

Eye level winds.....South 2-4 mph. Except for gusty and erratic winds

                    if an isolated storm is near by. 

Wind (20 ft)........South 4-9 mph. Except for gusty and erratic winds

                    if an isolated storm is near by.

Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 12-18 mph. 

CWR.................100 percent. 



.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY MAY 10 THROUGH THURSDAY MAY 16...



For Oregon...Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures

        and below normal precipitation.

For Nrn Calif...Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures

        and near normal precipitation.

=

$$

Forecaster...PETRUCELLI

Requested by...Hanne Meyers

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2412820.2/MFR

.DELDT 05/03/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL hanne.meyers@usda.gov