####018007700#### FNUS71 KALY 030857 FWSALY Spot Forecast for APB DAREUS RX...Albany Pine Bush National Weather Service Albany NY 457 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 03. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... High pressure over the region this morning will shift eastward to the New England coast during the afternoon. This high will provide continued dry conditions through tonight. The high will only move slightly east off the coast through Saturday, with a frontal system slowly approaching from the west. Clouds will increase on Saturday, with chances for showers developing west of the Hudson Valley. Showers will become more likely by Sunday as the system tracks east across the area with cool temperatures. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........44 percent. Dewpoint............48. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 10 mph early in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (43200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 60 63 60 56 53 55 57 59 60 61 62 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............50 51 53 55 60 63 64 67 69 70 70 69 Dewpoint........47 48 49 48 48 48 48 47 47 47 47 47 RH..............89 89 86 77 64 58 56 49 45 44 44 45 20 FT wind dir..N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 20 FT wind gust.8 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.0 4.6 Transp wind dir.NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 LVORI...........6 5 5 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 5 8 11 15 20 26 32 37 42 43 41 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........83 percent. Dewpoint............46. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (32300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........63 64 65 62 59 56 57 58 59 62 65 68 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 67 64 62 60 58 57 55 54 52 52 52 Dewpoint........46 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 45 45 45 45 RH..............45 49 54 58 62 67 67 72 71 77 77 77 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10 10 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..32 21 11 8 8 9 8 7 7 5 5 5 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 68. Min humidity........48 percent. Dewpoint............46. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (59800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........67 66 65 66 66 67 67 68 68 70 73 75 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............50 52 53 55 59 61 63 65 66 67 67 67 Dewpoint........45 45 45 46 46 46 46 46 47 47 47 47 RH..............83 77 74 72 62 58 54 51 50 49 48 49 20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.7 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 17 17 LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 10 15 21 28 35 43 51 56 60 60 56 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR $$ Forecaster...JPV Requested by...Tyler Briggs Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413060.0/ALY .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org