####018004420#### FNUS73 KMPX 030957 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Ringo Nest WMA Rx...Minnesota DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 457 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Temperatures will warm quickly from the mid-50s at ignition time to the mid to upper 60s by early afternoon. RH values will likely remain around 50% or higher during the afternoon, but could potentially approach 40% if temperatures overachieve by a few degrees. Cloud cover increases during the afternoon with a slight chance of rain showers late this afternoon & evening. WInds will be generally SW to WSW around 10 mph through mid afternoon. A wind shift is expected during the late afternoon or evening, which will result in winds becoming more northerly with speeds still around 10 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Temperature.........55 at ignition...Max 62. RH..................53 percent at ignition...Min 43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise West winds 8 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /34000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /61400 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............55 57 59 61 62 62 60 57 54 52 50 49 RH..............53 49 45 44 43 43 47 55 61 69 77 80 20 FT wind dir..W W W SW W W W NW NW NW N N 20 FT wind spd..12 10 10 9 10 8 8 10 10 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.17 16 16 14 16 13 13 16 16 14 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.3 4.7 3.8 2.1 1.3 0.7 1.2 1.3 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W NW N N N NW Transp wind spd.17 17 14 15 16 15 13 13 15 13 12 13 Haines index....6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely in the evening, then rain showers overnight. Temperature.........Min 43. RH..................Max 96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (6300 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. Temperature.........Max 60. RH..................Min 46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (92900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Ahasic Requested by...Area Wildlife Supervisor Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413051.0/MPX .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cory.netland@state.mn.us