####018007473#### FNUS74 KMOB 031011 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service National Weather Service Mobile AL 511 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 03. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected to continue at the burn site through Saturday, with minimum relative humidity values remaining well above critical thresholds. Transport winds for both today and Saturday will start off southeasterly during the mornings, becoming more southerly by the afternoon hours, and then light and variable during the overnight hours. Afternoon dispersions will be fair for both days (indices around 25-30). Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is possible tonight over the burn site. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...274-305 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south 9 to 12 mph late in the afternoon. Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the south 4 to 5 meters/second late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....15 increasing to 26 late in the morning. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........52 45 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 47 Weather cov.....PTY Weather type....FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............72 73 76 78 78 78 78 79 78 78 RH..............93 90 82 76 76 76 76 74 76 76 20 FT wind dir..ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 10 12 10 10 9 Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..10 15 19 23 26 29 29 28 26 26 LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 73. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-305 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest around 5 mph early in the morning. Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 4 meters/second shifting to the northwest around 2 meters/second early in the morning. Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 4. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........52 57 59 62 64 66 69 71 66 62 57 57 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............78 77 77 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 73 73 RH..............76 79 79 87 87 90 90 90 90 87 90 90 20 FT wind dir..S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE E ENE ENE 20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 20 FT wind gust.12 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S SW NNW Transp wind spd.7 8 7 6 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SW NNW Trans spd (m/s).3 4 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 Dispersion idx..26 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph early in the morning, then shifting to the south 8 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-305 meters AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph shifting to the south 10 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 2 meters/second shifting to the south 4 to 5 meters/second in the late morning and afternoon. Dispersion index....6 increasing to 29. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 57 54 51 48 45 42 39 35 30 25 21 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............73 73 74 75 78 79 79 79 79 79 79 78 RH..............90 90 87 84 76 74 74 74 74 74 74 76 20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE E ESE ESE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S 20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 10 12 14 14 15 15 16 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.NE ENE E E SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S Transp wind spd.5 5 5 8 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 10 Trans wind dir..NE ENE E E SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S Trans spd (m/s).2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 Dispersion idx..3 4 6 9 15 21 27 31 31 29 27 27 LVORI...........7 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 $$ Forecaster...96 Requested by...Robert Vick Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412531.15/MOB .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov