####018004586#### FNUS73 KFGF 031240 FWSFGF Spot Forecast for Nicholson East...USFWS National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 740 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 03. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates. .DISCUSSION... As the upper low moves Northeast the stratus cloud deck in South Dakota is expected to fill into the Fergus Falls area by the afternoon. If the clouds don't fill in as fast and deeper mixing will occur causing wind gust up to 25 to 30 mph. By the evening the winds are expected to start to switch to the Southwest and start to calm down to around 10mph or less. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy in the afternoon (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 58. Min humidity........45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph. Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL. Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....47700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to 107000 knot-ft in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........55 86 90 94 94 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............56 57 57 56 53 RH..............47 46 45 49 58 20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW 20 FT wind spd..15 15 15 15 15 20 FT wind gust.22 23 23 22 20 Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.0 4.9 4.3 2.7 Mixing wind dir.W W W W SW Mixing wind spd.25 25 25 20 20 Vrate kt-ft/1K..77 85 107 82 48 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely. Min temperature.....Around 40. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....36100 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing to 4000 knot-ft late in the night. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........90 91 96 95 92 83 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Temp............52 49 47 46 44 42 RH..............63 74 79 86 93 95 20 ft wind......SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 S 10 SW 5 SW 5 20 ft wind gust.18 15 14 13 11 9 Mix hgt (ft)....2100 1300 700 700 500 600 Mixing wind.....SW 20 SW 15 SW 15 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 Vrate kt-ft/1K..36 17 8 7 4 5 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 58. Min humidity........48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....4200 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to 79000 knot-ft in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........76 49 47 38 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............41 44 53 56 RH..............100 92 64 54 20 FT wind......SW 5G9 W 5G9 W 10G14 NW 10G16 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1500 4400 5000 Mixing wind.....W 10 W 10 NW 15 NW 15 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 14 50 74 $$ Forecaster...MM Requested by...Troy Boschee Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413074.0/FGF .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL troy_boschee@fws.gov ####018005724#### FNUS72 KMFL 031240 FWSMFL Spot Forecast for CW 9...Seminole Tribe National Weather Service Miami FL 840 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 03. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... A ridge of high pressure will remain entrenched across the area which will result in mostly benign conditions prevailing at the burn site today. Dispersions currently in the fair range will increase into the very good and excellent category later this afternoon as a lack of cloud cover, increasing mixing heights, and light transport winds will prevail. Cannot rule out an isolated shower or two but overall rain chances remain minimal for the foreseeable future. Breezy easterly flow will continue across the area before sunset with light and variable winds at the burn site overnight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........47 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph. Dispersion index....21 increasing to 74. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........12 13 20 18 13 11 9 7 11 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............73 79 82 84 86 87 88 88 89 RH..............90 74 63 59 53 50 48 48 47 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.9 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 3.1 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 Dispersion idx..21 31 44 54 64 73 73 72 74 LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 67. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 7 to 16 mph. Dispersion index....67 decreasing to 8. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........14 15 8 6 11 11 17 28 27 23 23 33 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............87 85 81 77 75 73 72 71 70 69 68 68 RH..............50 53 63 71 79 87 87 90 93 97 100 97 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 14 14 14 12 10 10 10 9 8 Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 3.1 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.13 15 16 16 14 13 12 10 9 8 8 7 Dispersion idx..67 53 11 10 10 9 8 6 5 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 1 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 1-8 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........47 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 68. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........35 31 13 14 12 19 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 70 80 84 88 88 RH..............97 93 74 59 48 49 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.8 9 10 13 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....700 1200 3100 4700 6000 6100 Transport wind..E 7 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 9 E 9 Dispersion idx..3 12 32 49 62 61 LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Hadi Requested by...Mike Lightsey Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413076.0/MFL .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0