####018005020#### FNUS73 KFSD 031655 FWSFSD Spot Forecast for Oxbow WMA...MN DNR National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 1155 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... With recent rains, the fire danger will continue to remain low for the next several days. Today will start out dry before showers move in later this afternoon into tonight. At the time of ignition, the sky will be partly cloudy, temperatures will be in the low 60s, dew point will be in the mid 40s, and relative humidity (RH) will be around 55%. Winds will be southwesterly at around 10 mph with gusts around 15 mph. A weak inversion remains in place at this time, with mixing heights around 1400 ft above ground level (AGL). Smoke could linger closer to the surface until the inversion mixes out completely, around 2pm. Maximum mixing height will be around 6000 ft AGL, around 4 pm. Clouds will continue to increase this afternoon. Winds will gradually increase to a peak sustained of 15 mph with gusts of 20 mph around 3 pm. Winds become southerly late afternoon as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to be moving through the area between midnight and 3 am. Winds will then be northerly sustained 10-15 mph with gusts 15-20 mph. Rain showers are expected to follow the front, and will begin between 7 and 9 pm. Showers are expected to be clear of the area after 10 am. Rain totals are expected to be between 0.25 and 0.5 inches. Maximum temperature for this afternoon will be in the upper 60s, with an overnight minimum in the low 40s. Dew points are expected to be in the low to mid 40s through Saturday morning. RH will fall through the afternoon reaching its minimum of 45% around 3 pm, then increase again overnight. .REST OF TODAY... Max temperature.....Around 68. Min humidity........40 percent. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC MC MC MC Sky (%).........21 23 50 60 53 56 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 Temp............62 64 64 65 67 65 Dewpoint........45 45 44 43 42 42 RH..............54 51 47 45 40 43 20 FT wind dir..SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S 20 FT wind spd..14 14 15 15 14 13 20 FT wind gust.21 20 21 21 23 21 Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.8 4.7 4.5 5.3 4.9 Transp wind dir.SW SW SSW SSW SSW S Transp wind spd.20 21 21 21 21 20 Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5 Smoke Dispersal.GD EX EX EX EX EX .TONIGHT... Min temperature.....Around 43. Max humidity........98 percent. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY Sky (%).........63 73 79 90 96 98 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 30 70 90 Temp............65 59 53 49 47 44 Dewpoint........43 44 45 43 42 43 RH..............45 57 73 81 84 95 20 ft wind......S 12 SE 9 NE 10 N 13 N 13 N 12 20 ft wind gust.20 14 15 17 18 18 Mix hgt (ft)....3800 600 700 1100 1200 1300 Transport wind..S 16 S 9 NNE 13 N 17 N 17 N 17 Haines index....5 5 5 5 3 3 Smoke Dispersal.GOOD POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR .SATURDAY... Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........43 percent. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR Sky (%).........85 67 44 48 40 18 Weather cov.....DEFNTE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).80 40 10 10 10 0 Temp............44 45 50 54 59 60 Dewpoint........42 41 42 41 40 39 RH..............94 87 74 60 50 45 20 ft wind......N 13 N 13 NNW 14 NNW 14 NNW 14 NNW 14 20 ft wind gust.20 21 18 18 20 18 Mix hgt (ft)....1300 1500 2800 4500 5900 6400 Transport wind..N 18 N 20 N 22 N 21 NNW 21 NNW 21 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Smoke Dispersal.FAIR FAIR GOOD EXCEL EXCEL EXCEL $$ Forecaster...AP Requested by...Chad August Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413099.0/FSD .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0