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FWSREV



Spot Forecast for Bliss 10 RX...US Forest Service

National Weather Service Reno NV

953 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 04. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National

Weather Service in Reno.



.DISCUSSION...



* A quick-hitting cold storm will bring strong winds, rain and

  snow, as well as cooler temperatures through Saturday night.

  Winds will quickly increase from the south-southwest this

  morning bringing gusts approaching 50 mph.



* Rain will turn to snow after 1400 PDT with total snowfall

  accumulations of 3 to 5" possible through midnight. Light snow

  showers are expected through Sunday morning.

 

* Beyond Sunday, there will be a slow warming trend with low

  chances for precipitation.



.SATURDAY...



Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely in the late morning 

                    changing to snow after 1400 PDT.

Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 46-49. 

RH..................79% at ignition...Min 69-74%. 

20-Foot Winds.......Winds southwest at 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph

                    increasing to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph by 

                    1000 PDT. Winds will gradually taper through

                    the afternoon but will remain elevated from 

                    the south around 20-25 mph with gusts 30-35 

                    mph.

LAL.................1. 

Chc Wetting Rain....15% increasing to 85% in the afternoon. 

Mixing Height.......2800-3800 ft agl. 

Transport Winds.....Southwest 35-40 mph decreasing to around 30 mph 

                    late in the afternoon. 

Ventilation.........Excellent. 

Haines Index........2. 



.SATURDAY NIGHT...



Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely in the 

                    evening, then slight chance of snow showers 

                    overnight. 

Temperature.........Min 22-25. 

RH..................Max 75-80%. 

20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph

                    decreasing to 10-15 mph after 0300 PDT.

LAL.................1. 

Chc Wetting Rain....55% decreasing to 10% overnight. 

Mixing Height.......1700-2400 ft agl. 

Transport Winds.....Southwest 20-25 mph. 

Ventilation.........Good in the evening becoming fair overnight. 

Haines Index........2. 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 

                    Slight chance of snow showers in the morning.

Temperature.........Max 38-41. 

RH..................Min 50-55%. 

20-Foot Winds.......West winds 8-13 mph. 

LAL.................1. 

Chc Wetting Rain....5%. 

Mixing Height.......4700-5700 ft agl. 

Transport Winds.....West 15-20 mph. 

Ventilation.........Fair to very good. 

Haines Index........3. 



$$

Forecaster...Johnston

Requested by...David de Leon

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2412722.0/REV

.DELDT 05/04/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL david.deleon@usda.gov