####018003026#### FQZA83 FAPR 301710 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII, WEST OF 20E ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 30th OF APRIL 2024 AT 17:10 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 302200 TO 012200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE WEST : W to NW 35 in the extreme north-west from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1020 hPa 32s61e. Low 1000 hPa 34s10w Low 992 hPa 43s02e Low 996 hPa 44s12e 1. Cold front: 24s17e 29s14e 34s14e into 34s10w. 2. Cold front: 35s09e 40s17e into 44s12e cont. 45s08e into 43s02e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 15 in the extreme east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 15 TO 25, but S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east and north-west by mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south- east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, reaching 4.5m in the extreme south until mid-period, S to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise S to SE 10 to 15, but N to NW 15 to 25 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but poor to very poor in fog in the extreme east until mid-period, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40SE, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 over the south-central parts but W to NW 20 to 30 in the north-east until mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, but good in the west. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0m over the south-central parts from mid-period, S to SE swell, but NW in the north-west. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 in the extreme north-west from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, but good in the north- east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, SW swell.####018006189#### FQZA81 FAPR 301710 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII, EAST OF 20E ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 30th OF APRIL 2024 AT 17:10 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 302200 TO 012200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1.CAPE EAST : N to NW 35 to 40 in places in the east until mid-period. 2. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: S to SE 35 in the extreme north from mid-period. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 20 35 to 40 in places in the north-east at first. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1020 hPa 32s61e. Low 1006 hPa 34s28e Low 1018 hPa 21s43e Low 1004 hPa 09s48e AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25, but N to NW 15 to 25 in the east until mid-period, reaching 35 to 40 in places. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south at times. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the extreme east until mid-period, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the east at first, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20, but SW 05 to 15 over the north-central parts, becoming S to SE 05 to 15 in the south-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, because moderate in the extreme east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the extreme east, SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 30 to 35 in the extreme north from mid-period, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme north towards the end of the period, SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the extreme north, but NE 10 to 15 in the extreme south. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good in the south until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south from mid-period, S to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the north-east at first, reaching 35 to 40 in places, otherwise S to SW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme south. It will become SE 20 to 25 in the north-west by mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers in the north until mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the north-east at first and in the extreme south, SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/04/30 AT 1700 UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE STRONGER THAN AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING: - GALE FORCE 8 EXPECTED OVER FAR SOUTHERN WAM AND FAR SOUTHERN AMS. - STRONG GALE FORCE 9 OR STORM FORCE 10 OVER KER. - STRONG GALE FORCE 9 EXPECTED OVER CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/04/30 AT 1200 UTC: - COLD FRONT (CH) OVER SOUTH-WESTERN CRO AT FIRST, MOVING EASTWARD. LOW ASSOCIATED 994 NEAR 45S/45E, EXPECTED 937 NEAR 55S/67E AT END. - HIGH AREA OVER WAM AND AMS WITH HIGH 1021 NEAR 31S/58E, MOVING EAST- NORTH-EASTWARD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 30/04/24 AT 1800 UTC TO 01/05/24 AT 1800 UTC: WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E): FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN LATER. WIND: AT FIRST, ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER NORTHERN, NW 4 TO 6 OVER SOUTHERN. THEN, SETTING-UP SOON NW 4 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH WITH SEVERE GUSTS, LOCALLY 8 OVER FAR SOUTHERN, AND BACKING AT END S 5 OR 6 OVER SOUTH-WESTERN. SEA : ROUGH TO HIGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LONG SSW SWELL, 3 TO 5 M OVER NORTHERN, 5 TO 7 M OVER SOUTHERN, DECREASING GRADUALLY BY WESTERN. ARRIVAL AT END OF A W SWELL, 3 TO 5 M, OVER SOUTH-WESTERN. VIS : MAINLY GOOD, THEN OOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E): FEW SHOWERS. WIND: AT FIRST ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER NORTHERN, W 4 TO 6 OVER SOUTHERN, THEN SETTING-UP LATER NW 4 TO 6 LOCALLY 7 OR 8 WITH GUSTS OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SEA : ROUGH TO HIGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LONG SW SWELL, 3 TO 5 M OVER NORTHERN, 5 TO 7 M OVER SOUTHERN. VIS : MAINLY GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E): FRONTAL RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS (CH), THEN SHOWERS WITH LOCALLY SNOWY SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN. WIND: NW 8 OR 9 WITH VIOLENT GUSTS AHEAD FRONT, BACKING SOON BY SOUTH- WESTERN SW OR W 6 TO 7 WITH SEVERE GUSTS, LOCALLY 8 WITH VIOLENT GUSTS OVER SOUTH-EASTERN. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. LONG SW SWELL, 3 TO 6 M FROM WEST TO EAST, DECREASING GRADUALLY BY WESTERN. VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E): SHOWERS WITH LOCALLY SNOWY SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN. FRONTAL SHOWERS AND SQUALLS (CH) LATER OVER WESTERN. WIND: W 6 A 8 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, SETTING-UP SOON 7 OR 8 AHEAD FRONT, LOCALLY 9 OR 10 WITH VIOLENT GUSTS NERA FRONT, AND BACKING LATER W 6 TO 8 OVER SOUTHERN. SEA : HIGH TO VERY HIGH. LONG SW SWELL, 7 TO 9 M, DECREASING GRADUALLY BY WESTERN. VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.