####018006072#### FQZA31 FAPR 051700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 05th OF MAY 2024 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 052200 TO 062200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: SW to W 35 in the south. 2. CAPE WEST: NW 35 in the south-east for the first half of the period. 3. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in the west for the first half of the period. 4. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to W 35 over the western and central parts spreading to the eastern parts by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 31s51e. Low 984 hPa 47s23e Low 988 hPa 45s08e Low 996 hPa 40s07e 1. Cold Front: 26s11w 30s01e 35s11e 40s16e 45s21e into 47s23e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 15 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers in the south-west. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 15, but S to SW 05 to 15 in the extreme east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SW 15 to 20 in the south, otherwise SE to E 10 to 20 reaching 25 over the central and northern parts from mid- period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers over the central parts spreading to the northern parts by end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme south-east, with SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but SW 15 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, with SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40SE, 00E/20W): WIND : SW to W 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south. It will become variable 05 in the north-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain but good in the north-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south, with SW to W swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the east reaching 35 in the south-east for the first half of the period, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the west. VIS : Good in the north-east, otherwise moderate to poor in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0 to 7.0m over the south-eastern parts, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the west for the first half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south- west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with mainly W to NW swell but 5.0 to 7.0m in the west with SW to W swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-east, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north and west. VIS : Good. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the north. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in extreme the north. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the extreme north-west, but NE to E 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 over the western and central parts spreading to the eastern parts by mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/05/05 at 1700 utc AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be stronger than averages given here). PART 1: WARNING: - Gale force 8 over KER and CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/05/05 at 1200 UTC: - Low 990 hPa near 46S/66E with a cold front axis 36S/63E, 40S/72E, 48S/69E, moving Eastward.- High 1024 hPa near 31S/51E stationary. - New front at end over southwestern CRO. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS from 05/05/24 at 1800 UTC to 06/05/24 at 1800 UTC: WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E): Frontal rains and showers decreasing. WIND : anticlockwise 3 to 5 over northern part setting up westerly 5/6. SEA: Rough becoming moderate. SW swell, 4 meters decreasing 2. VISI: Poor in precipitations. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : NW 4 to 6 from North to South increasing locally 7 to 8 with violent gusts over southern part backing westerly 4/5. SEA: Rough to very rough from North to South. Long SW swell, 3 to 4 meters. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : Westerly 5/6 veering NW 6/7 later. Gusts. SEA: Rough to very rough. Westerly swell, 2 to 4 meters, decreasing. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : Clockwise 6 to 8 with violent gusts then westerly 5/6 later and veering NW 6/7 over western part at end. Gusts. SEA: Rough to very rough. Westerly swell, 3 to 4 meters. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations.####018004295#### FQZA81 FAPR 051700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII, EAST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 05th OF MAY 2024 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 052200 TO 062200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in the west for the first half of the period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to W 35 over the western and central parts spreading to the eastern parts by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 31s51e. Low 984 hPa 47s23e Low 988 hPa 45s08e Low 996 hPa 40s07e 1. Cold Front: 26s11w 30s01e 35s11e 40s16e 45s21e into 47s23e. AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the west for the first half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south- west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with mainly W to NW swell but 5.0 to 7.0m in the west with SW to W swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-east, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north and west. VIS : Good. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the north. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in extreme the north. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the extreme north-west, but NE to E 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 over the western and central parts spreading to the eastern parts by mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/05/05 at 1700 utc AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be stronger than averages given here). PART 1: WARNING: - Gale force 8 over KER and CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/05/05 at 1200 UTC: - Low 990 hPa near 46S/66E with a cold front axis 36S/63E, 40S/72E, 48S/69E, moving Eastward.- High 1024 hPa near 31S/51E stationary. - New front at end over southwestern CRO. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS from 05/05/24 at 1800 UTC to 06/05/24 at 1800 UTC: WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E): Frontal rains and showers decreasing. WIND : anticlockwise 3 to 5 over northern part setting up westerly 5/6. SEA: Rough becoming moderate. SW swell, 4 meters decreasing 2. VISI: Poor in precipitations. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : NW 4 to 6 from North to South increasing locally 7 to 8 with violent gusts over southern part backing westerly 4/5. SEA: Rough to very rough from North to South. Long SW swell, 3 to 4 meters. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : Westerly 5/6 veering NW 6/7 later. Gusts. SEA: Rough to very rough. Westerly swell, 2 to 4 meters, decreasing. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E): Frontal rains and showers. WIND : Clockwise 6 to 8 with violent gusts then westerly 5/6 later and veering NW 6/7 over western part at end. Gusts. SEA: Rough to very rough. Westerly swell, 3 to 4 meters. VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitations.