####018005594#### FQZA81 FAPR 290830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.EAST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 29th OF APRIL 2024 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 291000 TO 301000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 to 40 in the south-east. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 33s42e. Low 1000 hPa 37s23e Low 992 hPa 42s01e 1. Cold front: 25s03e 30s06e 35s08e 40s07e into 42s01e AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the central parts, spreading to the north-east, otherwise E to NE 15 to 25, but S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-east. Cyclonic 10 to 20 in the west but NW 10 to 15 in the extreme west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, in the east reaching 4.5 to 5.0m, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the west, reaching 30 in the extreme south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20 but Variable 10 in the south-east. VIS : Good but moderate over the central parts at times. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 15 to 25. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good in the south. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north but NW 10 to 15 in the north-east. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good in the extreme south. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25, reaching 35 to 40 in the south-east, but NE 10 to 15 in the extreme north-west. VIS : Good but moderate in showers in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the extreme north-west, otherwise 5.0 to 6.5m, but 7.5 to 8.5m in the south-east, reaching 9.5 to 11.0m in the extreme south-east S to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/04/29 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE.). PART 1: WARNING : - GALE FORCE 8 OVER NORTH-EAST AMS AT FIRST. - GALE TO STRONG GALE FORCE 8/9 OVER KER. - STRONG GALE TO LOCALY STORM FORCE 9/10 OVER CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/04/29 AT 0000 UTC : - WAVYNG FRONT CF OVER EASTERN AMS AND NORTHEASTERN KER LEAVING THE AREA SOON. - COLD FRONT CG OVER CRO WITH ASSOCIATED LOW 953 HPA NEAR 57S/52E, MOVING EASTWARD. - HIGH 1025 HPA NEAR 34S/41E, EASTWARD MOVING. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 29/04/24 AT 0600 UTC TO 30/04/24 AT 0600UTC : WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) :SCATTERED SHOWERS.WIND : NORTH HALF: SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY 3/4, LOCALLY 5 IN THE SOUTHEAST, BECOMING VARIABLE 2/3 LATER IN THE NORTH ZONE. SOUTH HALF: WESTERLY TO SW 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, REACHING 7 IN THE SOUTH ZONE DURING THE DAY. SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BUT MODERATE IN THE FAR NORTH, AND BECOMING HIGH IN THE FAR SOUTH LATER. SW SWELL 2/3M GRADUALLY INCREASING 3 TO 6 M FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. VIS: POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) :SHOWERS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS LOC GRAINS OVER EAST ZONE AT FIRST. CFWIND : -NORTH HALF: SOUTH-WESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, REACHING 7 IN THE SOUTH-EAST SOON, BUT AT THE START OVER EAST ZONE, CLOCKWISE 4/6 IN THE WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 7/8 IN THE EAST SEMICIRCLE. -SOUTHERN HALF: SW 5/6 IN THE WEST AND 3/4 IN THE EAST, BECOMING WESTERLY 5/6 LOCALLY 7 DURING THE DAY. SEA: ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVERS SOUTH-WEST ZONE. ARRIVAL SW SWELL 2/3M INCREASING TO 4/6M OVER THE SOUTH. VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) :RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG, LOC SNOW IN THE SOUTH. STRONG GUSTS. WIND: NORTH HALF: WESTERLY 7/8, DECREASING 5/6 OVER THE NORTH-WESTERN HALF LATER. SOUTH HALF: WESTERLY 7/8, INCREASING SOON 8/9, REACHING LOCALLY 10 OVER THE SOUTH OF THE ZONE, DECREASING 6/7 OVER THE WEST AT THE END. SEA: VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, BECOMING HIGH TO VERY HIGH, SW SWELL 2/4M, INCREASING RAPIDLY FROM THE WEST TO REACH 7/9M AT THE END. VIS:VERY POOR. KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) :RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS CG AND OVER FAR NORTHEAST AT FIRST WITH CF.LOC SNOW IN SOUTH. STRONG GUSTS. WIND:NW 6/7, LOCALLY 8 IN SOUTH AHEAD OF FRONT, BACKING W 7/8 BEHIND, INCREASING 8/9 OVER SOUTH OF AREA LATER, BUT VARIABLE 2/4 OVER NORTH-EAST HALF AT FIRST. SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING HIGH TO VERY HIGH OVER THE SOUTH- WESTERN HALF LATER. W TO NW SWELL 2/4M, THEN SW SWELL 4/8M BEHIND THE FRONT. VIS: VERY POOR.####018004051#### FQZA83 FAPR 290830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.WEST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 29th OF APRIL 2024 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 291000 TO 301000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. ST HELENA : SW 35 in the south-west towards end of the period. 2. TRISTAN : S to SW 35 to 40 in the south-east, otherwise N to NW 35 in the extreme west. It will become Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the central and north-western parts. 3. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 to 40 over the central parts and over the south-west mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 33s42e. Low 1000 hPa 37s23e Low 992 hPa 42s01e 1. Cold front: 25s03e 30s06e 35s08e 40s07e into 42s01e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 15 in the extreme south-east at first and at the end of the period. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to SW 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the south-east, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 10 but SE 10 to 15 in the north-east spreading west. It will become NW 20 to 30 in the south-west towards the end of the first half of the period reaching 35 at times, spreading east and becoming SW 25 to 35 in the south- west towards end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south- west and extreme north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, in the south-east, First half of the period and the in the south-west towards end of the period, mainly SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : NW 10 to 15 in the extreme south-east at first, otherwise S to SW 05 to 15, but W to NW 15 to 25 in the south-west, becoming SE 10 to 15 in the extreme north-west towards the end of the first half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the extreme south- west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, W to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40SE, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SW 15 to 25, reaching 35 to 40 in the south-east, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the extreme west. It will become Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the west reaching 35 to 40 in the central and north-western parts. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in places in the south-east, and north-east, S to SE swell but SW in the north-east. It will reach 6 to 8.0m in the south-east by mid period and reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the extreme west towards the end of the period. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 40 over the central parts and over the south-west mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west, spreading east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, W to SW swell reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west towards the end of the period.