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FLUS44 KTSA 021821

HWOTSA



Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Tulsa OK

121 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024



ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031045-

Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-

Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-

Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-

Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-

Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-

Washington OK-Washington AR-

121 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024



This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as

much of Eastern Oklahoma.



.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

	RISK...Limited.

	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.

	ONSET...Northeast Oklahoma after 4 PM; Southeast Oklahoma after midnight.



FLASH FLOOD.

	RISK...Limited.

	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.

	ONSET...Ongoing.



DISCUSSION...



Scattered thunderstorms are expected across northeast Oklahoma and

northwest Arkansas ahead of an upper low and weak cold front.

Organized severe weather is not expected, but a few of these

storms could become severe briefly with hail and wind the main

threats. Locally heavy rainfall from these storms could lead to

flash flooding.



A complex of storms could organize tonight and move east across

southern Oklahoma. There is a limited risk of severe wind from

these storms if they were to move into southeast Oklahoma before 

weakening.



SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...

Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.



.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. 

MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. 

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.



EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

The unsettled weather pattern continues thru the middle of next

week, with daily thunderstorm chances. The greatest potential for

significant severe weather will be from Monday onward as the flow

aloft strengthens. The potential for flash flooding will exist

with any pockets of locally heavy rainfall that occurs, especially

this weekend.



weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.



$$