####018002854#### FLUS44 KTSA 011755 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1255 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1255 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Mainly West of A Bartlesville to Eufaula to Hugo. ONSET...After Midnight. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing...Again After Midnight. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast and East Central Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... A thunderstorm complex will continue to move across southeast Oklahoma early this afternoon with the potential for locally heavy rainfall that could lead to a localized flash flood threat. This activity is forecast to exit mid afternoon. Additional thunderstorms are forecast to develop out west and move into eastern Oklahoma late tonight and into northwest Arkansas Thursday morning. A limited severe potential returns late tonight into Thursday with damaging winds the primary threat and large hail a secondary threat. Locally heavy rainfall may also occur late tonight into Thursday morning, which may lead to localized flooding concerns. Also this afternoon, southerly wind are expected to become breezy across a portion of eastern Oklahoma with gusts of 20 to near 30 mph. These winds should weaken this evening. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. TUESDAY...High Wind Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Unsettled weather will continue through the weekend with multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected. Severe storms and heavy rainfall will be possible during this period, especially late Thursday and Thursday evening. Thunderstorm chances will continue into early next week as a strong upper level storm system moves into the central Plains. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$