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FXUS01 KWBC 140749

PMDSPD



Short Range Forecast Discussion

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

348 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024



Valid 12Z Tue May 14 2024 - 12Z Thu May 16 2024



...Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding will impact portions of

the Gulf Coast and the Southeast on Tuesday...



...Above-average temperatures expected for South Florida and the

West...



Wet and unsettled weather is in store for the Gulf Coast and

Southeast today thanks to a slow-moving frontal boundary. Showers

and thunderstorms across this region have the potential to turn

severe and will be capable of producing heavy rain. SPC has a

Slight Risk for severe weather, indicating the potential exists

for multiple corridors of damaging winds, very large hail, and a

one or two tornadoes covering central/northern Florida and

southern Georgia. Additionally, WPC has a Slight Risk for

excessive rainfall and local flash flooding highlighted for much

of the same area as the severe weather threat while a broader

Marginal Risk spans northward to the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic

regions. As the system advances eastward the threats for severe

storms and heavy rainfall will reduce for Wednesday to a Marginal

Risk.



Showers and storms over the lower Missouri an Mid-Mississippi

valleys to the Ohio Valley will spread east through the

Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast today. A brief window of drier

weather over the Mississippi Valley into early Wednesday will be

followed by the next round of showers and storms that will begin

to spread into the region by late Wednesday. Before impacting the

central U.S. on Wednesday, this previously noted system will

spread showers and storms followed by much cooler temperatures

from the Northern Rockies into Central Rockies and High Plains on

Tuesday. 



South Florida will continue to have well above-normal, with near

to record high temperatures through Wednesday. Meanwhile, warmer

temperatures will spread across the western states reaching

well-above normal highs across the region by midweek.



Campbell



Graphics available at

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php



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