####018005908#### WWIN40 DEMS 280300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 28-04-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL AFGHANISTAN NOW LIES OVER EAST AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 65OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW LIES AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A TROUGH RUNS FROM NORTHEAST JHARKHAND TO SOUTH CHHATTISGARH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM MARATHWADA TO NORTH TAMIL NADU NOW RUNS FROM EASTERN PARTS OF VIDARBHA TO NORTH KERALA ACROSS MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION FROM 04 TH MAY, 2024. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH HARYANA & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDED UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH CHHATTISGARH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: MUZAFFARABAD; AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, JHARKHAND, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, WEST RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 28 APRIL (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, WITH LIGHTNING, DUSTSTORM & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, ODISHA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, LAKSHADWEEP. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM, MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, KERALA & MAHE AND COASTAL KARNATAKA. HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND BIHAR; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, SUB- HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA. 29 APRIL (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND AND PUNJAB; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH) & AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, WITH LIGHTNING, DUSTSTORM & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-D ELHI; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND LAKSHADWEEP. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM, MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, KERALA & MAHE AND COASTAL KARNATAKA. HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, BIHAR; AT SOME PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, ODISHA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL, KONKAN & GOA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA.=