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WWIN40 DEMS 281200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 28-04-2024

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST

AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD

BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN

UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES

WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 65OE

TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON

PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

THE TROUGH FROM NORTHEAST JHARKHAND TO SOUTH CHHATTISGARH AT 0.9 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM EASTERN PARTS OF VIDARBHA TO NORTH

KERALA ACROSS MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA

EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE

EAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN

REGION FROM 04TH MAY, 2024.

RAINFALL FORECAST:

AT MOST PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD;

AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA;

AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,

UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB AND

LAKSHADWEEP;

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM,

ODISHA, JHARKHAND, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, WEST

RAJASTHAN, MADHYA

PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH,

COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM, TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA &

MAHE;

DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.

WEATHER WARNINGS:

28 APRIL (DAY 1):

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

40-50 KMPH) &

HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH; WITH

LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

MUZAFFARABAD, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA,

CHHATTISGARH, ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING,

GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

35-45 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, WITH LIGHTNING,

DUSTSTORM & GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND WEST UTTAR

PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST

RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, ODISHA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

KERALA & MAHE SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, LAKSHADWEEP.

HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

MUZAFFARABAD, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM,

MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, KERALA &

MAHE AND COASTAL KARNATAKA.

HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC

WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND BIHAR; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JHARKHAND,

SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL;

HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH,

KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL AND INTERIOR

KARNATAKA.

WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND

SAURASHTRA & KUTCH.

29 APRIL (DAY 2):

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

40-50 KMPH) &

HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH,

UTTARAKHAND AND PUNJAB; WITH

LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-

LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM &

TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH) & AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR

PRADESH, WITH LIGHTNING, DUSTSTORM & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA,

CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KERALA &

MAHE, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND LAKSHADWEEP.

HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM,

MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, KERALA &

MAHE AND COASTAL KARNATAKA.

HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC

WEST BENGAL, BIHAR; AT SOME PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, ODISHA; HEAT WAVE

CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL,

SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, KONKAN & GOA,

TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,

TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA

AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND

SAURASHTRA & KUTCH.=