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WWIN40 DEMS 301200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 30-04-2024

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH

PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD

    BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

BETWEEN 1.5 & 3.1 KM ABOVE

    MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH EXTENDING UPTO

1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

    PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM NORTH BIHAR TO MANIPUR ACROSS SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, CYCLONIC

    CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH AND SOUTH ASSAM AT 0.9 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM SOUTHEAST MADHYA PRADESH TO SOUTH

INTERIOR KARNATAKA

    ACROSS VIDARBHA, MARATHAWADA & NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA EXTENDING

UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

    LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

    PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN

    EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN

REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 03 RD

    MAY, 2024.

RAINFALL FORECAST:

 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH;

 AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD

   AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA;

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, HIMACHAL

PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE AND

   LAKSHADWEEP;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ODISHA,

UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, EAST MADHYA

   PRADESH, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA

PRADESH & YANAM, TAMIL NADU,

   PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.

WEATHER WARNINGS:

30 APRIL (DAY 1):

  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 50-60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY

    AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM AND TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY

WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40 -50

    KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER MEGHALAYA MANIPUR, MIZORAM; WITH

LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

    REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

    MUZAFFARABAD AND NAGALAND; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

HIMACHAL PRADESH, SIKKIM,

    ARUNACHAL PRADESH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA &

MAHE AND LAKSHADWEEP.

   HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL

PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.

   HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, SAURASHTRA

    & KUTCH, KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA &

MAHE.

   HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC

    WEST BENGAL; AT A FEW PLACES OVER BIHAR, ODISHA; IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

    BENGAL, JHARKHAND, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN

ISOLATED POCKETS OVER KONKAN,

    MARATHWADA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL ANDHRA

PRADESH & YANAM,

    RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

   WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH,

    BIHAR, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

01 MAY (DAY 2):

  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) &

    HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SIKKIM; WITH

LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

    REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM

    & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL

PRADESH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

    KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND LAKSHADWEEP.

  HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY

    RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

  HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WEST ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, TRIPURA, SAURASHTRA

    & KUTCH, KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA &

MAHE.

  HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC

    WEST BENGAL; AT A FEW PLACES OVER BIHAR, ODISHA; IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER JHARKHAND, SAURASHTRA

    & KUTCH; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL, KONKAN,

    MARATHWADA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL ANDHRA

PRADESH & YANAM,

    RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND TAMIL NADU,

PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

  WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH,

    BIHAR, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.=