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WWIN40 DEMS 010300



IWB (MORNING) DATED 01-05-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:



 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH

PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING

JAMMU & KASHMIR NOW LIES OVER LADAKH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 5.8 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL.



 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

PERSISTS AND NOW

EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.



 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH PERSISTS AND NOW

EXTENDS UPTO 0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.



 THE TROUGH FROM NORTH BIHAR TO MANIPUR NOW RUNS FROM NORTH BIHAR TO

NAGALAND

ACROSS SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL, CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST

BANGLADESH AND

SOUTH ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.



 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN

EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.



 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN

REGION FROM THE NIGHT

OF 03RD MAY, 2024.



 THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM SOUTHEAST MADHYA PRADESH TO SOUTH

INTERIOR

KARNATAKA ACROSS VIDARBHA, MARATHAWADA & NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA

EXTENDING UPTO 1.5

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.



 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.



RAINFALL FORECAST:



 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM

& TRIPURA;



 AT A FEW PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND

LAKSHADWEEP;



 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ODISHA,

UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL

PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, TAMIL

NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE;



 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

01 MAY (DAY 1):



 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

30-40 KMPH) &

HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SIKKIM; WITH LIGHTNING

& SQUALLY WINDS

(SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,



MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-

LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND,

ARUNACHAL



PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE, TAMIL NADU AND LAKSHADWEEP.



 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH;

HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND

NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

\U2756 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL

KARNATAKA.

\U2756 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO

PREVAIL IN MANY PLACES OVER

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN SOME PARTS OVER ODISHA, JHARKHAND; IN

ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL, BIHAR, RAYALASEEMA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS

IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER KONKAN, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM, TELANGANA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL AND KERALA &

MAHE.



 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER CHHATTISGARH,

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.



02 MAY (DAY 2):



 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 50-60 KMPH)

VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM &

TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER

SIKKIM; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND

KERALA & MAHE.



 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND MIZORAM & TRIPURA; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER

NAGALAND & MANIPUR.



 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL KARNATAKA.



 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN

MANY PLACES OVER

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN SOME PARTS OVER ODISHA, JHARKHAND; IN

ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

BIHAR, RAYALASEEMA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, KONKAN, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL ANDHRA

PRADESH & YANAM,

TELANGANA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND

KERALA & MAHE.



 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER CHHATTISGARH,

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.=