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WWIN40 DEMS 011200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 01-05-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LADAKH &

NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

AND

NOW EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH EXTENDING UPTO

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM NORTH BIHAR TO NAGALAND ACROSS SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH AND SOUTH

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN

REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 03 RD MAY, 2024.



RAINFALL FORECAST:

 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA;

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND

LAKSHADWEEP;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ODISHA,

UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

MUZAFFARABAD, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA &

MAHE;

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

01 MAY (DAY 1):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER

SIKKIM, COASTAL ODISHA; WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING

50-60 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL

PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE, TAMIL

NADU

AND LAKSHADWEEP.

 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL KARNATAKA.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN SOME PARTS OVER ODISHA,

JHARKHAND; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL, BIHAR,

RAYALASEEMA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER KONKAN,

MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM,

TELANGANA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL

AND

KERALA & MAHE.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER

CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR

KARNATAKA.



02 MAY (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 50-60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING,

GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

SIKKIM; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND

KERALA & MAHE.

 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND MIZORAM & TRIPURA;

HEAVY

RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NAGALAND & MANIPUR.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL KARNATAKA.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN

MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN SOME PARTS OVER

JHARKHAND; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER ODISHA, BIHAR, RAYALASEEMA; HEAT

WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL,

KONKAN, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH

& YANAM, TELANGANA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY

&

KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER

CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND NORTH INTERIOR

KARNATAKA.=