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WWIN40 DEMS 020300



IWB (MORNING) DATED 02-05-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC

WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT

5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 45OE TO THE

NORTH OF LAT. 26ON.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

PERSISTS AND NOW

EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A TROUGH RUNS FROM SOUTH CHHATTISGARH TO SOUTH TAMIL NADU ACROSS

TELANGANA &

RAYALASEEMA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST BANGLADESH EXTENDING UPTO

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

 THE TROUGH FROM NORTH BIHAR TO NAGALAND ACROSS SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, NORTHEAST

BANGLADESH AND SOUTH ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

HAS BECOME LESS

MARKED.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN

EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.



RAINFALL FORECAST:

 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM

& TRIPURA

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU

ZAFFARABAD;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, WEST BENGAL &

SIKKIM, ODISHA, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA

& MAHE;

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

02 MAY (DAY 1):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 50-60 KMPH)

VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM &

TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) &

HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER ODISHA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40

KMPH) AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM;

WITH LIGHTNING AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL AND KERALA

& MAHE.



 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER KERALA & MAHE,

COASTAL KARNATAKA,

TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KONKAN.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN

MANY PLACES OVER

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST BIHAR; HEAT WAVE

CONDITIONS IN SOME

PARTS OVER EAST JHARKHAND; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL, ODISHA,

GUJARAT REGION, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, NORTH KERALA &

MAHE, SOUTH COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL, ODISHA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, SOUTH INTERIOR

KARNATAKA AND

RAYALASEEMA.

 SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65

KMPH VERY LIKELY TO

PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH-ODISHA-ADJOINING WEST

BENGAL COASTS.

FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.



03 MAY (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

30-40 KMPH)

VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM &

TRIPURA, ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA; WITH

LIGHTNING AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU

ZAFFARABAD, ARUNACHAL

PRADESH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER KERALA & MAHE,

COASTAL KARNATAKA,

TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN

SOME PARTS OVER

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST BIHAR; HEAT WAVE

CONDITIONS IN SOME

PARTS OVER EAST JHARKHAND; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL, ODISHA,

GUJARAT REGION, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL

NADU,

PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, RAYALASEEMA,

TELANGANA AND

INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER ODISHA,

RAYALASEEMA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65

KMPH VERY LIKELY TO

PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH-ODISHA-ADJOINING WEST

BENGAL COASTS.

FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=