####018003839#### WWIN40 DEMS 031200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 03-05-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER IRAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. HOWEVER, THE TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE &UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 59OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 25ON. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & ADJOINING WEST ASSAM AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH FROM SOUTH CHHATTISGARH TO RAYALASEEMA ACROSS TELANGANA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT A FEW PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &SIKKIM, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, WEST RAJASTHAN, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 03 MAY (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &TRIPURA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &YANAM AND RAYALASEEMA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, WEST RAJASTHAN AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH. DUSTSTORM (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ASSAM &MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, KONKAN, SAURASHTRA &KUTCH AND COASTAL KARNATAKA. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN SOME PARTS OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, ODISHA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA. WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER KERALA & MAHE, RAYALASEEMA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 04 MAY (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, UTTARAKHAND, SUB- HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &SIKKIM, ODISHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &TRIPURA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &YANAM AND RAYALASEEMA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND KERALA &MAHE. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &TRIPURA, KONKAN, SAURASHTRA &KUTCH, KERALA & MAHE AND COASTAL KARNATAKA. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN SOME PARTS OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, ODISHA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=