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WWIN40 DEMS 040300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 04-05-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER

TROPOSPHERIC

WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS

ROUGHLY ALONG

LONG. 64OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON. THE ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC

CIRCULATION OVER

IRAN & ADJOINING AFGHANISTAN AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS

BECOME LESS

MARKED.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE SEEN AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER

TROPOSPHERIC

WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG

LONG. 52OE

TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 25ON.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN &

NEIGHBOURHOOD AND

EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &

ADJOINING WEST

ASSAM NOW LIES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND

EXTENDS

UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER MARATHWADA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND

EXTENDS

UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A TROUGH RUNS FROM MEGHALAYA TO THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER

MARATHWADA

ACROSS THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL,

JHARKHAND,

ODISHA, SOUTH CHHATTISGARH & VIDARBHA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

1.5 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM SOUTH CHHATTISGARH TO RAYALASEEMA ACROSS TELANGANA

AT 0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:

 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA ANCD

NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA;

 AT MANY PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-

BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL,

ODISHA, BIHAR, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, COASTAL

ANDHRA

PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY

& KARAIKAL,

SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE;

DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

04 MAY (DAY 1):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-

50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &

SIKKIM, ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND TAMIL NADU,

PUDUCHERRY

& KARAIKAL; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40

KMPH) VERY

LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM,

SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, RAYALASEEMA AND KERALA & MAHE; WITH

LIGHTNING AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU

ZAFFARABAD,

HIMACHAL PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND ARUNACHAL

PRADESH.

 HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, WEST ASSAM, TRIPURA, KONKAN, GUJARAT STATE,

COASTAL KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA

& MAHE.

 HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN SOME PARTS OVER

GANGETIC

WEST BENGAL; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, TAMIL

NADU,

PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,

RAYALASEEMA,

TELANGANA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER

KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL KARNATAKA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 SQUALLY WIND (SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY

LIKELY TO

PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. FISHERMEN ARE

ADVISED

NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.



05 MAY (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING

50-60 KMPH GUSTING TO 70 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

SUB-

HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND

NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH)

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, BIHAR, ODISHA, TAMIL

NADU,

PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH

& YANAM AND

RAYALASEEMA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL

PRADESH.

 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL

PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &

TRIPURA; HEAVY

RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &

SIKKIM.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST

BENGAL, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KONKAN, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL KARNATAKA,

TAMIL

NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE.

 HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY

&

KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA

AND

INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER

COASTAL KARNATAKA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 SQUALLY WIND (SPEED 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY

LIKELY TO

PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. FISHERMEN ARE

ADVISED

NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=