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ACUS01 KWNS 240052

SWODY1

SPC AC 240050



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0750 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024



Valid 240100Z - 241200Z



...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST TEXAS...



...SUMMARY...

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and

gusts to 65 mph will be possible for a few more hours this evening

across across northwest Texas.



...TX...



Severe probabilities have been removed from southwest TX as storms

across that area have weakened and dissipated. The severe

probabilities over northwest TX have been trimmed (and removed from

southwest OK), and are mostly in line with Severe Thunderstorm Watch

132. A recently severe-warned cell near Fisher and Nolan Counties

will continue to develop southeast over the next couple hours,

posing a risk for large hail and strong gusts before dissipating as

the boundary layer stabilizes with loss of daytime heating.

Additional convection has been modestly deepening near the cold

front/dryline intersection in the vicinity of Garza County. This

activity may briefly become strong over the next 1-2 hours before

also weakening.



The Marginal (level 1 of 2) and Slight (level 2 of 5) risks have

been nudged southward a bit to account for storm motion.



...Great Lakes...



Severe probabilities have been removed given very weak instability

and a stabilizing boundary layer. A strong storm may persist in the

short term, producing locally gusty winds or small hail, before

weakening with time and eastward extent over the next hour or so.



..Leitman.. 04/24/2024



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