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ACUS01 KWNS 250048

SWODY1

SPC AC 250046



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0746 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024



Valid 250100Z - 251200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS

OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...



...SUMMARY...

Isolated large hail and severe gusts remain possible across portions

of the southern and central Plains.



...01z Update...



Extensive mid-high cloudiness appears to be partly responsible for

the lack of deep boundary-layer cu across the TX South Plains into

the Permian Basin early this evening. While surface temperatures

warmed into the mid 80s across the Permian Basin, weak inhibition

persists across this region. 00z sounding from MAF supports this,

with a warm layer at 700mb serving as a cap for surface-based

parcels. While several HREF members suggested deep convection would

have developed by early evening, there is some concern that deep

convection may remain quite isolated, if it does develop at this

latitude. As LLJ strengthens across the High Plains tonight there

should be an increase in elevated convection farther north across

portions of OK/KS. Storms that develop due to warm advection could

generate marginally severe hail. Will maintain low severe

probabilities to account for these scenarios.



..Darrow.. 04/25/2024



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