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ACUS01 KWNS 020111

SWODY1

SPC AC 020109



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024



Valid 020100Z - 021200Z



...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN

OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS

THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS...



...SUMMARY...

All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into

the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern

Plains.



...Central and southern Plains...

Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad

portion of the central third of the CONUS.  For the remainder of the

period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the

southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across

parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas.  



Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms

persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues

to develop across east-central Colorado.  Upscale growth/expansion

of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a

strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern

Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours.  Hail should

become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well

north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind

gusts may also occur.



Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms

is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the

South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline.  Recent

reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been

received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging

wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this

evening.  With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected,

in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet,

spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the

overnight hours.



Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho

Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney

Woods region.  This convection may also persist/spread eastward with

time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for

hail/wind this evening and overnight.



..Goss.. 05/02/2024



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