####018001690####
ACUS01 KWNS 040101

SWODY1

SPC AC 040100



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0800 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024



Valid 040100Z - 041200Z



...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE

SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION...



...SUMMARY...

A couple strong storms remain possible this evening near the

southern Mid Atlantic coast.



...Southern Mid Atlantic coast region...

While some decrease in storm intensity has been noted this evening

across southeast Virginia, a strong storm or two remains possible

across near-coastal areas of the southern Mid Atlantic, as a surface

low and trailing cold front move across the region. Remaining

convection will remain relatively low-topped, but gusty winds and

potentially some hail remain possible before ongoing storms move

offshore. 



...South FL...

Convection will continue to spread across parts of south FL this

evening, in advance of a cold front. While rich low-level moisture

is supporting MLCAPE of around 1000 J/kg along/south of the front,

warm midlevel temperatures and weak midlevel lapse rates are

expected to limit storm intensity and organization through the

remainder of tonight. However, a strong storm or two capable of

gusty winds cannot entirely be ruled out, especially across the

southwest peninsula. 



...Parts of OR/ID...

Scattered storms will likely persist tonight across parts of OR/ID,

in association with a deep upper-level trough. Gusty winds and small

hail will be possible with the strongest storms, though weak

instability is expected to limit the severe threat.



..Dean.. 04/04/2024



$$