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WTIN20 DEMS 300943



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 30.03.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

30.03.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 30.03.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST BAY OF

BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



  24    24-48   48-72   72-96  96-120   120-144   144-168

 HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS

  NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL

INDIAN OCEAN AND LAKSHADWEEP ISLAND ADJOINING COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



  24    24-48   48-72   72-96  96-120   120-144   144-168

 HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS

  NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=