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WTIN20 DEMS 310629



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 31.03.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

31.03.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 31.03.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH

OF LATITUDE 100 NORTH AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24    24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144   144-168

HOURS  HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS     HOURS

 NIL    NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA

COAST. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 100

NORTH AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH

ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24    24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144   144-168

HOURS  HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS     HOURS

 NIL    NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL       NIL       NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





 REMARKS: NIL.=