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WTIN20 DEMS 080603



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

08.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.04.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

 SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME NORTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH

BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER CENTRAL BAY

OF

BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24       24-48     48-72      72-96     96-120     120-144   144-168

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

 NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LAT 08.0N AND

ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24       24-48     48-72      72-96     96-120     120-144   144-168

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

 NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





REMARKS: NIL.=