####018002122####
WTIN20 DEMS 130720

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 13.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL (MINIMUM

CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE MINUS 80 DEGREE CELSIUS ) & SOUTHEAST BAY OF

BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

 24            24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120       120-144   144-168

HOURS          HOURS        HOURS          HOURS            HOURS        HOURS     HOURS

NIL             NIL          NIL            NIL              NIL         NIL        NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY\u2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD

AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 13TH APRIL, 2024.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA

COAST, LAKSHADWEEP ISLAND, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA (MINIMUM CLOUD TOP

TEMPERATURE MINUS 85 DEGREE CELSIUS). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN

SEA SOUTH OF LAT 8.0N AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH

ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

24                24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120       120-144   144-168

HOURS             HOURS         HOURS          HOURS            HOURS        HOURS     HOURS

NIL               NIL           NIL           NIL                NIL         NIL        NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL.