####018001764#### WTIN20 DEMS 180600 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC T ROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.04.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 18.04.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 18.04.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA . PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA SOUTH OF LAT 8.0N (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 90 DEGREE CELSIUS ). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA & COMORIN AREA . PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.=