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WTIN20 DEMS 200638

 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC T ROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

20.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 20.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AT

3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF

TODAY, THE 20TH APRIL 2024.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE

TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA TENASSERIM

COAST. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL REST OF ANDAMAN SEA .

     PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING

NEXT 168 HRS:

          24           24-48         48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS      HOURS   HOURS

           NIL           NIL          NIL           NIL

NIL        NIL    NIL

     NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE

CONVECTION OVER LKSDP ILS AREA COMORIN AREA . SCATTERED LOW AND

MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER

SOUTH ARABIAN SEA .

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

         24            24-48         48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS      HOURS   HOURS

         NIL            NIL           NIL            NIL

NIL        NIL    NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.=