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WTIN20 DEMS 210600



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 21.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.

     PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120    120-144 144-168

        HOURS         HOURS         HOURS          HOURS            HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

           NIL           NIL          NIL           NIL                NIL       NIL   NIL

     NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

A FRESH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD

AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 21ST APRIL 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED TO BKOKEN LOW

AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA & LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

     PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120    120-144 144-168

        HOURS         HOURS         HOURS          HOURS            HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

          NIL           NIL           NIL            NIL               NIL       NIL   NIL

     NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

REMARKS: NIL.