####018002087#### WTIN20 DEMS 220700 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.04.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 22.04.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22.04.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH & EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: YESTERDAY\u2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED , AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 22ND APRIL 2024. A FRESH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 22ND APRIL, 2024. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH GUJARAT COAST, GULF OF CAMBAY, EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.