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WTIN20 DEMS 240622



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 24.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

24.04.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 24.04.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LAT 10.0N

AND

ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA HAS BECOME LESS

MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 24TH APRIL, 2024

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA. SCATTERED

LOW

AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION

LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION

LAY OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24     24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

 NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=