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WTIN20 DEMS 280705



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 28.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

28.04.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 28.04.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

 24       24-48      48-72      72-96    96-120     120-144

144-168

HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

HOURS

 NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL       NIL        NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED AT 0300UTC OF

TODAY\U2019S, 28TH

APRIL 2024.



A FRESH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD

AT 0.9

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAYS, 28TH APRIL 2024.

ANOTHER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN

SEA

AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAYS,

28TH APRIL

2024.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA. SCATTERED LOW

AND

MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY

OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA & LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



 24       24-48      48-72      72-96    96-120     120-144

144-168

HOURS     HOURS      HOURS      HOURS     HOURS      HOURS

HOURS

 NIL       NIL        NIL        NIL       NIL        NIL

NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=