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WTIN20 DEMS 290622

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 29.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 29.04.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 29.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

           24       24-48      48-72       72-96   96-120     120-144     144-168

       HOURS       HOURS     HOURS        HOURS    HOURS      HOURS       HOURS

       NIL       NIL       NIL             NIL   NIL       NIL          NIL

     NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD LAY

OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU AND NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT

0300 UTC OF TODAY, 29TH APRIL 2024.

YESTERDAY CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA

PERSISTED AND EXTENDED UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAY,

29TH APRIL 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA & MALDIVES AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND

MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF

ARABIAN SEA.

  PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

       24           24-48      48-72       72-96   96-120     120-144     144-168

     HOURS          HOURS      HOURS       HOURS   HOURS       HOURS       HOURS

           NIL       NIL   NIL         NIL       NIL       NIL          NIL

      NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.