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WTIN20 DEMS 010600

DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.05.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

01.05.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 01.05.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

 *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

         24        24-48      48-72       72-96   96-120     120-144

144-168

       HOURS        HOURS      HOURS       HOURS    HOURS      HOURS

HOURS

        NIL        NIL       NIL             NIL   NIL       NIL

NIL

    *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA &

ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT

0300

UTC OF TODAY, THE 01ST MAY, 2024.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW & MEDIUM

CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER MALDIVES

AREA, COMORIN AREA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL &

NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.

 *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

      24           24-48     48-72       72-96   96-120     120-144

144-168

     HOURS        HOURS      HOURS       HOURS    HOURS      HOURS

HOUR



S

      NIL          NIL        NIL         NIL       NIL       NIL

NIL

    *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.=